The Zimbabwe Civil War

The odds are increasing that Zimbabwe will descend into civil war as Mugabe has figured out that his neighbors won't do anything about him. He'll play the anti-colonial card to the end. That will continue to work with his core supporters, who don't understand economic reality at all, but the millions who will starve may develop a working hypothesis that Mugabe is the root cause.

At some point, a large number of blacks will form a working partnership with the white farmers. We will then see whether the Western democracies, which were so keen on booting out Ian Smith and "liberating" the country thirty years ago, will have the stomach to stay with him this time. I'm guessing they won't.