Monday, September 08, 2008

Here's hoping Ike hits New Orleans

People are worried about Ike making landfall somewhere along the Gulf Coast. In general, this would be a bad thing but there's a possible silver lining. It might hit New Orleans and take the city out of its misery. It wouldn't need to be a direct hit, just something close enough to cause another evacuation and perhaps a minor breach of a levee.

It's not that I don't like New Orleans. On the contrary, I've been there, enjoyed myself, and look forward to a city named New Orleans, on essentially the present site, continuing long into the future. But the premises behind all reconstruction conversations I've heard are foolish.

Much of New Orleans lies below the level of the surrounding waters of the Mississippi River and Lake Pontchartrain. Until Katrina, it contained many poor people. Their homes have been devastated and now the theory seems to be that there should be some way in which New Orleans can be rebuilt so as to house a lot of poor people.

Sorry, but building a city below sea level is intrinsically expensive and nobody is going to do it on behalf of poor people. Nor should they. Many more poor people could be given decent housing elsewhere for the cost of doing so in New Orleans, assuming that the package included enough civil engineering to ensure that the new housing would not be flooded like the old.

The lowest portions of New Orleans should never be rebuilt. We should stop thinking of New Orleans in terms of the Florida Everglades and switch to Amsterdam or Venice. This is prime land for development, both residential and commercial, provided that some of it is moved up and surrounded by sturdy walls and the rest excavated to a level that would allow small craft to ply the newly created lakes and waterways.

This wouldn't be cheap, but we're the country that built the Grand Coulee Dam and this is certainly doable. And the result would be fabulously valuable. People will pay tons of money for waterfront, and New Orleans could have oodles of it.

What about the poor people? Well, what about the poor people? Is anyone building their housing today? Will they tomorrow? Let's get real, build subsidized housing somewhere on naturally-occurring dry land, and get over the sentimental attachment. Subsidence happens.

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